Is Modern Cosmology
a Scientific Theory?
By Professor Jayant V. Naralikar
The abstract of the three lectures
will be as follows.
Lecture 1
This lecture will begin by laying down the
generally accepted criteria for a scientific theory,
namely that (1) it makes testable, and possibly
disprovable, assertions; (2) it explores uncharted
territory by speculations provided clear-cut methods
are specified for testing those ideas and (3)
the theory should be tested not just once but
repeatedly and in as many different circumstances
as possible. Theories by Pythagoreans on the Earth
going round a central fire or by Aristotle, followed
by Hipparchus and Ptolemy on the cosmos
revolving round a fixed earth are examples of
theories that did not work out. Coming to
modern cosmology, examples will be given of how
the inputs of facts gradually removed wrong ideas
and convictions. Nevertheless, it will be
argued that the subject has been driven by strongly
held notions, that have not received any independent
support.
Lecture 2
The second lecture will first
describe the modern big bang cosmology which began
with Hubble’s discovery of the velocity-distance
relation and Einstein’s theory of relativity.
The simplest models led to the notion of big bang
origin. The entire universe is supposed to have
been created in a singular explosive event, which
generated outward motion. This model has
recently undergone a modification invoking an
extra repulsive force that makes the universe
accelerate. The thrust of present effort is directed
towards understanding what went on shortly after
the big bang.
The relic radiation background
recalling the early existence of very high energy
radiation comes in the way, however, if one wishes
to peer through it to very early epochs. Thomson
scattering intervenes to stop and scatter the
radiation from travelling far undisturbed. The
closer one goes into the past the stronger this
effect. It begins at a redshift of 1000 or so.
That is, it prevents any coherent imaging of the
universe prior to the epoch when the universe
was approximately a thousandth part of its present
linear size. Thus what happened prior to this
epoch has to rest not on solid observed facts
but inferred indirect effects of those early epochs
that we cannot see. Some consequences of this
speculative approach will be discussed.
Lecture 3
The last lecture will examine
the present work on the very early universe. Starting
with the premise that the epochs closer and closer
to the big bang would be dominated by particles
of higher and higher energies, there has developed
close collaboration between cosmologists and high
energy particle physicists. Known as astro-particle
physics, this field has generated lot of interest
in recent times.
However, most of it depends on speculative physics,
i.e., on physics not tested in the laboratory.
These speculations are coupled with cosmological
speculations (which, as we saw earlier are not
observable directly). The results are interesting
but can hardly be considered credible as a scientific
theory. In fact the level and type of speculation
reminds one of the Pythagorean speculation described
in Lecture 1. Finally, one also realizes that
the sequence of events describing the history
of the universe is non-repeatable and so does
not satisfy the third criterion of a scientific
theory.
Taking these aspects one may
find it hard today to ascribe credibility to modern
cosmology as a scientific theory.